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Archive for March, 2008

Mar-31-2008

Headlines for March 31

  • Housing and Urban Development (HUD) secretary, Alphonso Jackson, resigned today to his duties. He is under criminal investigation but the government didn´t give any reason for his resignation.

  • Citigroup Inc (C) has named Nick Roe to head its global equity finance and prime brokerage business. Roe joined Citi in London in 2005, after working for Deutsche Bank AG (DB).

  • Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will meet on Tuesday with House Republican leaders to discuss the rising threat to the US economy and the need for futher action to address problems in the housing market.

  • Citi and Wachovia seen cutting dividends for next month, as shrinking earnings will make it hard to support current payouts. Economic experts believe Citigroup will earn $1.43 a share less than its dividend payout this year.

  • Lehman Brothers (LEH) sues Japonese trading company Marubeni. demanding $350 million in damages over alleged fraud.

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Posted under General Info
Mar-30-2008

Highlights of “The Intelligent Investor”

According to Warren E. Buffett, this is “by far the best book on investing ever written”. In the following post, I wish to share with you some of the basic ideas.

INTRODUCTION

  • A stock is not just a ticker symbol; it is an ownership interest in an actual business, with an underlying value that does not depend on its share price.
  • The intelligent investor is a realist who sells to optimists and buys form pessimists.
  • There is no such thing as a good or bad stock; there are only cheap stocks and expensive stocks.
  • The art of successful investment lies first in the choice of those industries that are most likely to grow in the future and then in identifying the most promising companies in these industries.
  • Obvious prospects for physical growth do not translate into obvious profits if most other investors are already expecting the same.
  • Stocks become more risky as their prices rise (this is obvious but very few follow this core principle).
  • The more enthusiastic investors become about the stock market in the long run, the more certain they are to be proved wrong in the short run (rule of opposites).
  • Never buy a stock immediately after a substancial rise or sell immediately after a substancial drop.

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Posted under General Info
Mar-28-2008

Lehman Upgraded by Citigroup on 27 March

After losing 9% on yesterday´s trading day, Citigroup upgraded Lehman Brothers Holdings from hold to buy due that is has a “very attractive share price”.

Lehman, the forth biggest US security firm, had a profitable recent quarter and according to Citigroup, it has a protected liquidity position because the Fed and US Treasury is ready to inject cash if Lehman´s share has a further decline.

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Posted under US Stocks
Mar-27-2008

Have we reached the bottom, or this is just a rebound?

Well, the past trading days have been very good for Wall Street, but as I said on some of my recent posts, in my opinion recession is a fact. This euphoria is just temporary and these facts should make bullish investors reconsider their beliefs:

  • Consumer confidence is in its lowest levels since 1973. Yes, 35 years!! Less confidence than September 11, that´s incredible. The consumer index is currently at 64,5 according to today´s report. We have to go back to the Watergate scandal to get a lower reading
  • Home prices fell in January to new records, dropping 10% in just one month. This is another indicator that shows as the reality of US. Read the rest of this entry »

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    Posted under General Info
Mar-23-2008

Visa´s Performance and Expectations

Visa (V) had a successful beginning, and currently has a value of $64,35 per share. In only two days from its IPO initial value ($44), it has gain 46,25%. Not bad, right? Basically, the high demand for this
company´s stock had a big impact on this gain.
Nevertheless, many analysts believe that the first days of the week from 24-28 March will be hard for financial companies (Visa included), since profit taking is
expected and it will generate a rebound from last week´s rally.

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Posted under US Stocks
Mar-20-2008

Bear Stearns and the effect in the market

 The investment bank Bear Stearns will be sold at a bargain cost of $2 per share to JP Morgan. This news is just one sign of the huge credit crisis that is half way through.

This is another effect of the credit crush, and my prediction is that these kind of news will continue arriving, driving the Dow Jones Index below the 10,000 barrier, since next month all investment firms and banks will present the second quarter info, bringing more bad news. The dollar is very cheap, specially compared with the Yen and Euro.


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Posted under US Stocks
Mar-16-2008

Asia/Pacific reaction to the US credit crisis

Although many analysts say that it´s necessary to diversify in order to have a not so volatile overall result, on the past months we have learned that emerging markets are more linked to the US stock market than we thought.

Straits Times (STI), the Singapore Stock Exchange Index,  is currently at a value of 2,792. Four months ago, on November 2007, STI reached a 3,906 value. Therefore, Singapore has gone down 30%. Nikkei 225 is now at it´s 2,5 year low, and lost more that 40% of its value in only 5 months. Read the rest of this entry »

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Posted under Asia/Pacific Stocks